Thursday, May 2, 2013

Rationalizing each trading day's spin.. One lie upon Another

The market is up +64 pts at 14,764 as of 11am

And there's always some rhyme and reason-- here's today's professional version of blowing smoke up people's bums:

"Stocks gained after data showed the number of Americans applying for unemployment insurance fell last week to its lowest level since the early days of the 2007-2009 recession." (Reuters)

Wow!  That's simply terrific.. Yay Government & Private Sector!

Oh course the recession Never Ended but.. you know..
Oh, and wait-- Didn't the Dow go down over 100pts less than 24 hours ago because the private sector only created 141,000 or so new jobs in April in a nation with population of around 315 million?

AP Says, "The number of Americans seeking unemployment aid fell last week to seasonally adjusted 324,000, the lowest since January 2008. The drop points to fewer layoffs and possibly more hiring."

Understand, that's not the number of people NEEDING unemployment assistance like the Millions who can't collect any more benefits...  Or the number of people RECEIVING unemployment assistance now..

Nope..  It is SEEKING.  As in, just recently got fired.. As in people who may have had employment a month ago.. or a week ago..
See how these MF bastard corporate media people twist and manipulate bad news into something good or well, not so bad?   The second sentence is glowing empty optimism about 'possibly' more hiring.

If only 230k private sector jobs have been created in the last two months, Federal and state governments aren't hiring and there's acknowledgment all around the entire global economy is in a slowdown, um.. one quickie Q...

Where are these magical jobs to come from?

So every day the market does something.. really one of five things:  It goes up, down, Way UP, Way Down or finishes pretty much where it started.  
That's it-- Just 5 scenarios.  And the finance media always has rationalizations and explanations to cover each twist and turn as to optimize the positive and minimize the negative.

And if a negative is too big to gloss over, it ends with 'the cavalry is coming' pitch i.e. 'The Fed will save the day folks.. no worries..'

For some 'fun', we thought we'd go back and look at how the stock market did over the last 5 business days starting at Friday, April 26th and more importantly focus on how the media explains it, doing so as concisely as we can...

Now the explanations:
Friday 4/26:  14,715 (+7 pts)

"Stocks closed mixed in a quiet trading session on Friday. Investors were focused on numerous earnings reports during the day and a couple of economic reports that offered a mixed view of the economy.

The final revision to the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index came in well above consensus estimates, but was still down from March. Also, the advanced GDP report showed that the economy grew 2.5 percent in the first-quarter of 2013, but this was less than had been anticipated." (AP)

A bunch of gobbletygook nonsense-- Consumer sentiment continued its descent as less people felt confident a recovery was going to ever reach them and 2.5% GDP growth for a nation of this size is anemic at best.

Investors ignored all the negatives because Bernanke is pumping in that $85B in fresh money every month for they and banks to play with.
Monday 4/29: 14,801 (+95)

"A rally in U.S. stocks was sparked in part by better than expected consumer spending for March. Stocks closed off their best levels of the session, but all of the major averages recorded strong gains, including a near triple digit move in the Dow." (AP)

So the rats and roaches who trade and profit on Wall St knew about consumer confidence supposedly going up based on experts predictions (yet still really worse than March) and decided to wait until Monday to stage a rally??   Can you say 'bullshit'?

Truth is, whoever wrote the market wrap summary hadn't a clue why it went up but one can not keep a job with a news reporting outlet if you don't fill those empty columns with some words now and then.
Tuesday 4/30: 14,835 (+25)

"The U.S. stock market was resilient again on Tuesday. Stocks traded lower in early trade, before rising throughout the rest of the day to finish near session highs... Investors were heartened by a sharp rise in consumer confidence for April and a report which showed home prices continue to jump throughout much of the country." (AP)

Yes, that's not a typo-- the same empty consumer confidence survey was used to explain away not one or two, but THREE straight trading days!

Most people don't read the summary reports and if they do, its instantly forgotten.  All that matters to Ma & Pa trader is the market goes up and any rhyme or reason will do..even the same reason over n over n over..
Wednesday 5/1: 14,700 (-135pts)

"The U.S. stock market was hit hard on Wednesday as investors reacted to a report which showed slowing employment conditions for the month of April. The losses were also likely amplified by profit taking as the Dow and S&P have been hovering near record highs in recent days." (AP)

Utter gloss over!  No mention of the putrid job growth in the public sector... No acknowledgment the economy is at worst, slowly collapsing and at best, in a meandering rut.   Nope.. that 135pt drop was due to 'profit taking'..  That's 'good'..

'See boys and girls, there's Sooo Much Profit to be made in the Stock Market that 135pt drops are nothing...'
~ Demi Moore looking great

And today, 5/2 as of 11am--  A manipulative report mentioned a reduction in those newly unemployed seeking assistance and the ECB copying a page from the Fed by lowering interest rates even more which kills European savers but helps their insolvent Banks (they can lend to each other and borrow from the ECB cheaper) and Investors greatly.

Truth is, most of the time there's no sincere reason it goes up beyond Federal Reserve manipulation, impressive quarterly dividends from a company or sector or a big merger & acquisition between companies.
The rest of the time, the reasoning is as poorly made up as explaining to a spouse why you keep coming up from work at 11pm with lipstick on your collar.

And when the market goes down, its severity is always minimized.

The day you ever read or hear the word 'Sell!' in finance media, is the day it hits pre-Reagan levels i.e. Dow 1000, and even then, we wouldn't hold our breath.

Wall Street-- an evil business run by evil people with evil in their hearts looking to make as much money as possible while separating you from your wealth.
~ 'This is my body paint..  Meoww.. um.. Oink Oink!'

Wednesday, May 1, 2013

How to express Anger and the power of the Individual

The market dropped about 140pts today... Good.

Its probably nothing more than the old Wall St adage of "Sell in May and go away; Don't come back til' Labor Day"

Of course the media has to attach some rhyme or reason to why it goes up or down so today's spin was something about global manufacturing starting to cool down and U.S. companies are hiring more slowly than anticipated...
Reminds us of the guy who had a really Bad day so his friend asks, "What's wrong Buddy? You seem particularly down today more than normal" and the guy replies, "Ehh.. my wife doesn't want to have sex with me".   The friend says "Sorry about that.. If you don't mind me asking, how long as this been going on?", and the guy replies "Four years"

So much negative financial news... for instance, it was reported today that in April only 119,000 new jobs were created by private companies. (88,000 new jobs were created by private businesses in March)

If you divide by 50 US states, that's 2,380 jobs per...
The small state of Massachusetts has 14 counties using them as an example, that means 170 new jobs were created per county in Mass. in April.    North Carolina has 100 counties so that averages to 23 to 24 new jobs per NC county...

But don't worry-- everything's super in America.  An NBA player who averaged 1.1pts per game this season came out as 'gay' even though he was in a long term relationship with a woman for over 8 yrs before breaking off the engagement one month before the wedding.

So we can all take comfort in that as we munch on our food-stamp purchased edibles and go back to scouring the want-ads for temp work.
So what to do... what to do?

How do we express the built-up rage and anger?  How do we make our frustrations known and more importantly, direct it to the proper individuals who can make a difference?

Sadly there really isn't a clear cut answer...

We can commit violence; go on a destructive rampage...  But against what? or Who? A building..  Some symbol?  
And in this nation no one individual is all-powerful.  Every one-- easily replaceable.  Someone in office resigns due to scandal or passes away from old age, a new official is appointed and confirmed in mere days.

Some President passes away from standing out in the cold rain too long or eating bad cherries with milk and someone of the same political affiliation and ideology steps to fill the void in hours.

So violence isn't the answer.

System is way too powerful plus deep down its really what they want.  You don't think the Department of Homeland Security is buying hundreds of thousands of rounds of ammunition monthly to in preparation of some foreign foe do you?
Nope.. Its for us.  And they can't wait to test out their new toys

OK, so acts of violence are out of the question..  What else?

Protest marches?  Nah..

Did all the protest marches globally in early 2003 concerning the US' decision to invade Iraq halt or dissuade the attack?  Did all the Vietnam protest marches and campus demonstrations of the late 1960s and early 70's deter LBJ and Nixon?  Nope..

So protests are ignored by the powerful...
Hmm..  what else?

We could write to our Congresspeople or the President.   Nice exercise in creative writing but realistically, the chances a few letters will sway an elected official who is of a different political party than yourself is slim to none.

And don't bother writing the Fed.. That bastard Ben Bernanke only listens to banks and professional big-time Investors.  So we guess if you're one of them, a letter couldn't hurt...

Escape into drugs or alcohol?
No..bad idea.  The System wants you to escape but prefer you do it to television, movies and video games.. Better yet, shopping-- buy whatever you need to push your blues away.. cha-ching!  No one in power minds That..

Nothing good ever comes about from drugs or alcohol-- the police will lock you up for the slightest infraction and addiction is a horrible road to travel...

There are many things one can do for therapeutic release-- start a blog, vent in a diary, complain among friends, scream into a pillow and go for a long night-time drive are some possibilities.

Now taking your $$ out of the bank is a very good way to protest.  Every penny not needed for bills or to maintain free checking account minimums to be simply withdrawn.   This deprives banks of the ability to lend 10x that amount to others via fractional reserve..
Problem is, most people are cowardly or complacent.  Too trusting of banks.. Too believing that baddies will rob them and know just exactly which empty paint can or coffee tin they hid it in.

So without the masses withdrawing at once in a timed movement, you don't get the full effect of scaring the banks and the system into listening to the people and changing policy.

The best way to rebel is to be an Individual.  That doesn't mean getting tattoos, piercings, dying one's hair wild colors and dressing in black.   That's not Individualism.

Individualism means you have your own unique set of values and beliefs; private convictions and views on the world and thus you live your life while marching to the beat of your drum.
Ralph Waldo Emerson was such a man-- he didn't believe any of his money should be used to pay for toward a war with Mexico (1846-48) which he felt was simply to expand slavery.  So he didn't pay his taxes... He practiced civil disobedience.

Now Emerson was ultimately imprisoned and eventually was freed when a friend paid the taxes against Emerson's consent.  He makes mention of this in 'Walden'...

Emerson had a personal conviction.. He followed through.

What are your core convictions?
We're not sure if one person can really change the world all too much.  We do know that no person has more power in terms of changing, altering and ultimately improving your world as you.

Things are bad out there... Don't let the media fool you otherwise...

If you're "Mad as Hell and not going to take it anymore!", to quote the 1975 film Network, then how are you going to express it?

Only you can answer..   But the only bad answer is to keep it inside.